2012年10月25日星期四

September Japan exports to reduce 14.1% year-on-year trade deficit for three months



In the wide net Beijing on October 24, according to the China news sound of the news aspect "report, Japan's finance ministry 22,, according to figures released in September this year Japan appeared 558.6 billion yen, $7 billion trade deficit. This is the Japanese three consecutive months a trade deficit, and the same period and a record high. This for our export Japan, it can be said to be disruptive changes.
Japan exports to reduce, is a trade deficit is one of the main reasons why. In September, the Japanese exports to reduce 14.1% year-on-year. From the lipstick to cars, many Japanese brand none escape by luck. Among them, the Japanese car exports to reduce 44.5% year-on-year, auto parts also fell 17.5%.
Some analysts estimate, Japan's exports to reduce will strengthen the Japanese economy in the next two quarters in a row the possibility of occurrence systole, this kind of situation is generally regarded as a recession.
The Japanese economy sustained downturn, in the day life many years of Chinese have experience greatly. Ten years of students studying in Japan xiao wu tells the story of their own had seen and heard.
Xiao wu: in recently read some news reports, such as sharp for a while before the layoffs, now staff wages are also lost a lot, and Japanese men often comes home from work to get together before you drink wine, now look at 800 yen casually drinks are very few people go to. Go to the mall shopping, now shopping mall customers less than in the past a lot of, now feel very funny is, sometimes feel the waiter than more than customers.
In addition, the Japanese economy long-term cachexia, leading to the employment situation is becoming more and more severe, the nest at home by parents to support young people increasing. Japan WenBu science province announced the results of a survey show that Japanese graduation this year 560000 people, there is 6%, or 33000 people neither intends to bound also not going to employment.
Is not only young people, the Japanese ministry by recent figures show, there are more than 300 35 to 40 years old of the Japanese people still single unmarried, and parents live together, the average 6 middle aged persons have a "neet group".
Why doesn't he get married? In LvRi writer TangXinZi opinion, is mainly the Japanese economy long-term downturn, let many Japanese people have their own no sense of urgency, the economic pressure to let them to the marriage flinch.
TangXinZi: now Japan recession, the economy is not good enough, the parasitical also increased, don't get married of person also increased, these people average income of only 1.38 million yen or so, and their unemployment up in their age layer people 11.5% the left and right sides, so for this income is not stable, so had to long-term depend on their parents.
In the past 20 years, the Japanese economy gradually fall from the top, although the Japanese government for out use all one's skill, also can prevent its economic rapid decline, to stimulate economic recovery, basically powerless.
The Chinese academy of social sciences institute of world economics and politics at the researchers 沈骥 considers that, in recent years Japan's economy has been in a state of stagnation, the Japanese products competitive decline to trade also produce negative influence.
沈骥 such as: the past Japanese cars, household appliances, especially the color TV is very strong competitiveness, but now Japan less competitive, be South Korea, and China's color television replaced, so Japan's those big home appliance company like Hitachi, sharp are serious loss, so the competitiveness of Japan in decline, of course, to its trade will produce a negative impact, the Japanese domestic market is very narrow, so it need a lot of products, it is domestic digestive, it exports, while China well, asean or, emerging economies the rapid development, a lot of industry we all take part in the game, also can produce, so to Japan's demand also decrease, Japan's economy is now no new growth point, so it is stagnant.
As is known to all, China is Japan's biggest trading partner, but Japan is China's third largest trading partner. Last year, bilateral trade volume of more than $340 billion. China accounts for 20% of the whole trade between Japan, accounting for almost is the United States than two times.
Sino-japanese trade in China and Japan in the most sensitive response, the latest trade figures is further reveals the territorial disputes to Japan's economy, the influence of deterioration in relations between the two countries would deal a severe blow to Japan's economy. But the Japanese asahi shimbun newspaper published recent commentary but think, Japan's exports to reduce will affect China's employment, at the same time, in China the actual income of the enterprise staff will be reduced.
To this, cass institute of world economics and politics at the researchers 沈骥 such as not agree. He thinks that, our country have become increasingly complete industry chain, the Japanese exports products have alternative.
沈骥 such as: from on macroscopic speaking, exports to reduce, the majority of the product is an alternative choice, like automobile, home appliances these value higher commodity have other alternatives, so in Japan, the joint venture enterprise workers wages fall, even to depletion, but Germany in China these joint venture automobile enterprise, it is likely to increase employee to work overtime to production. So nationally, Japan's this kind of export to reduce the influence of China should be said is not particularly big.
The Japanese domestic economic recovery are faced with tests, and how to resolve the present tense relationship between, deal with the two countries territorial disputes, is also the Japanese authorities urgent need thought. 沈骥 such as pointed out that China and Japan, can truly realize the economic complementary and close economic cooperation, completely to see the Japanese authorities can correct errors.
沈骥 such as: the struggle between the diaoyu island may have long-term change, sino-japanese relations, political relations, economic relations are likely to so low, so the economic relationship between is politically cold and economically hot, now become cold politics and cold, this situation I'm afraid to delay a time, when will end, this is about to see the Japanese to this problem can correct understanding history, can admit his mistake, correct his mistake.